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Author: Conrad

Week End Review 03/24/2023

Week-End Review 03/24/2023

Hey there, are you ready to hear about the thrilling world of finance? I know, it doesn’t sound like the most exciting topic, but let’s give it a shot. Today we’re going to talk about the relationship between mortgage-backed securities and the 10-year Treasury note bond. 

Let’s start with the basics. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are investments that are created by bundling together a bunch of mortgages. The idea is that by pooling these mortgages together, you can spread out the risk of default. Basically, if one person defaults on their mortgage, it’s not a big deal because there are lots of other mortgages in the pool to pick up the slack.

Now, you might be thinking, “Great, but what does that have to do with the 10-year Treasury note bond?” Well, my friend, the 10-year Treasury note bond is like the cool kid at the party that everyone wants to be friends with. It’s a debt security that’s issued by the US government, and it’s considered one of the safest investments you can make. Why? Because the US government has never defaulted on its debt (at least, not yet).

So what’s the connection between MBS and the 10-year Treasury note bond? Well, when you buy an MBS, you’re essentially investing in a bunch of mortgages. And when you invest in a bunch of mortgages, you’re taking on some level of risk. But here’s the deal: the level of risk you’re taking on is directly related to the interest rate on the 10-year Treasury note bond.

You see, when the interest rate on the 10-year Treasury note bond goes up, the value of MBS goes down. Why? Because if the interest rate on a super-safe investment like the 10-year Treasury note bond is high, then investors are going to demand a higher return on riskier investments like MBS. And when demand goes down, so does the value of the investment.

So, in a way, the 10-year Treasury note bond is like the queen bee of the investment world. Everyone wants to be friends with her, but if she’s not feeling it, then the rest of the gang is going to suffer. It’s kind of like Mean Girls, but with money.

In conclusion, the relationship between mortgage-backed securities and the 10-year Treasury note bond is a lot like high school. Everyone is trying to figure out who’s popular and who’s not, and if you’re not careful, you could end up getting burned. But if you play your cards right, you just might come out on top. And hey, if all else fails, at least you’ll have a good story to tell.


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Week-End Review 03/17/2023

Week-End Review 03/17/2023

So, you’ve decided to buy a home and now it’s time to navigate the exciting world of mortgage lending. Don’t worry, the process may seem daunting, but with a little patience and a good mortgage broker (a.k.a. Us – Coastal Mortgage Solutions), you’ll be well on your way to securing the loan you need to make your homeownership dreams a reality.

First things first, let’s talk about the different types of mortgages available to you. There are fixed-rate mortgages, adjustable-rate mortgages, FHA loans, VA loans, and even jumbo loans for those of you with big-time dreams and big-time budgets. But don’t worry, you don’t need a PhD in finance to figure out which one is right for you. Just take a deep breath, maybe have a cup of coffee, and let’s move on to the next step.

Now that you have a basic understanding of the types of mortgages available, it’s time to start the application process. This is where things can start to get exciting. You’ll need to gather a lot of information about yourself, including your income, employment history, credit score, and more. It’s like a treasure hunt, but instead of gold coins, you’re searching for your W-2s and bank statements.

But don’t worry, it’s not all paperwork and numbers. You’ll also get to meet with a loan officer who will help guide you through the process. Think of them like a friendly pirate, except instead of a parrot on their shoulder, they have a calculator. They’ll help you understand the different loan options and work with you to find the best one for your needs.

Once you’ve completed the application process and been approved for a mortgage, it’s time to celebrate. Maybe break out the bubbly or dance around your living room like you’re on a reality TV show. But hold on, there’s still a bit more work to do.

Now it’s time to go through underwriting, which is like a final check-up before you get the official approval for your loan. This can be a nerve-wracking time, but don’t worry, it’s like getting a physical exam, but for your finances. And if you’ve been keeping everything in order, you should be in good shape.

Finally, after all the paperwork, meetings, and financial check-ups, you’ll get to close on your new home. This is where you’ll sign a lot of papers, maybe even more than you did during the application process. But it’s all worth it, because at the end of it all, you’ll have the keys to your new home and the start of a new chapter in your life.

So, there you have it, the mortgage lending process in all its glory. It can be an exciting and rewarding journey. Now go out there and get that dream home!


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Week-End Review 03/10/2023

Week-End Review 03/10/2023

In the mortgage industry, LLPA stands for “Loan-Level Price Adjustments.” These are fees that are added to a borrower’s mortgage rate to account for risk factors associated with the loan. The purpose of LLPA’s is to allow lenders to price mortgages more accurately based on the risk of default associated with a particular loan.

LLPA’s are typically applied to loans that have certain risk characteristics, such as a low down payment or a high debt-to-income ratio. For example, a borrower who is putting down less than 20% on a home purchase may be subject to an LLPA for mortgage insurance.

LLPA’s are usually expressed as a percentage of the loan amount, and they can add up to thousands of dollars in additional costs over the life of the loan. It’s important for borrowers to understand the LLPA’s that may apply to their loan, as they can significantly impact the overall cost of borrowing.

The chairman of the Federal Reserve’s congressional meeting can have an indirect effect on mortgage rates through the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve is responsible for setting the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate that banks charge each other for overnight loans.

When the Federal Reserve raises or lowers the federal funds rate, it can have a ripple effect on other interest rates, including mortgage rates. Generally, when the Fed raises interest rates, it can cause mortgage rates to rise as well. This is because higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive, which can reduce demand for mortgages and cause lenders to raise rates to maintain profitability.

Conversely, when the Fed lowers interest rates, it can lead to lower mortgage rates, as lenders may lower rates to attract borrowers and maintain market share. Lower mortgage rates can make homebuying more affordable, which can stimulate demand for homes and support the overall housing market.

It’s important to note, however, that the relationship between the Federal Reserve’s actions and mortgage rates is not always straightforward, and other factors can also influence mortgage rates, such as inflation, economic growth, and global events.

The chairman of the Federal Reserve’s congressional meeting can indirectly affect mortgage rates through the statements and policies discussed at the meeting.

When the Federal Reserve chairman speaks about the state of the economy, inflation, and the direction of monetary policy, it can influence investor expectations about the future direction of interest rates. For example, if the chairman suggests that the Federal Reserve may increase interest rates in the future to combat inflation, it can cause investors to anticipate higher borrowing costs and sell bonds, leading to an increase in mortgage rates.

Similarly, if the chairman suggests that the Federal Reserve may maintain its current accommodative monetary policy stance for longer than expected, it can lead to a decline in mortgage rates as investors anticipate lower borrowing costs in the future.

Overall, the Federal Reserve’s policies and statements can have a significant impact on investor expectations and, in turn, on mortgage rates. However, the relationship between the Federal Reserve and mortgage rates is complex, and there are many other factors that can influence mortgage rates as well.


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Week-End Review 03/03/2023

Week-End Review 03/03/2023

I thought that since inflation is on everyone’s mind I would ask the question: How does global inflation affect our housing market in the US of A… Here’s a quick look at a few ways our market can be affected:

  1. Interest Rates: Higher global inflation can lead to higher interest rates as central banks may raise rates to combat inflation. This can make borrowing money more expensive, including for mortgages. As a result, higher interest rates can lower demand for homes, which may lead to lower home prices.
  2. Foreign Investment: Global inflation can also impact foreign investment in the US housing market. Investors may look to invest in countries with lower inflation rates to protect their assets from inflationary pressures. If global inflation is high, it may discourage foreign investors from investing in the US housing market, which can lower demand and potentially lead to lower home prices.
  3. Commodity Prices: Higher global inflation can lead to higher commodity prices, including building materials like lumber and steel. This can increase the cost of building new homes, which may result in higher home prices.

Remember, these are just a few reasons global inflation affects us here at home. There are many other factors that impact us. That said, these 3 reasons are probably the most impactful to our markets.


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Week-End Review 02/24/2023

Week-End Review 02/24/2023

Following up from last week, I’d like to share about the Producer Price Index (PPI).

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is an economic indicator that measures the average change in the prices received by domestic producers of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the cost of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer, the PPI provides a snapshot of the price movements in the production process.

At its core, the PPI is a measure of inflation in the production sector. It is calculated by measuring the changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services that are typically produced and sold by businesses in the United States. These goods and services include raw materials, intermediate goods, and finished goods.

The PPI is similar to the CPI in that it is based on a weighted average. The weights assigned to different items reflect the relative importance of each item in the production process. For example, the prices of raw materials like steel or oil may be given greater weight than the prices of finished products like cars or refrigerators.

One important aspect of the PPI is that it provides a leading indicator of inflation in the broader economy. Because businesses generally pass on increases in the cost of production to consumers in the form of higher prices, changes in the PPI can signal future changes in the CPI. In other words, if the PPI starts to rise, it can be an early warning sign of potential inflation in the consumer market.

Another important use of the PPI is for businesses to benchmark their own price changes against those of their competitors. By tracking the PPI over time, businesses can identify trends in price movements and adjust their own pricing strategies accordingly. This can help businesses stay competitive and ensure that they are charging fair prices.

Despite its importance, the PPI may not be as well-known as the CPI. This is partly because the PPI is less directly relevant to consumers, but also because it can be more difficult to understand. However, the PPI is still a critical tool for economists, policymakers, and businesses who need to monitor inflation and make informed decisions about the economy.

In conclusion, the Producer Price Index may not be as well-known as the Consumer Price Index, but it is just as important for understanding the economy. By measuring changes in the prices received by domestic producers, the PPI provides a window into the cost of production and the potential for future inflation. For businesses, the PPI can also serve as a valuable benchmark for pricing strategies and staying competitive in a constantly changing market.


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Week-End Review 2/17/23

Week-End Review 02/17/2023

So, I’m a little late getting this one out. My apologies. I forgot to upload it!! Ugh…

The next couple of weeks, I want to go over a couple of indices in a nutshell, explore what they affect in our economy then recap on how they affect our industry.

The first one I want to touch on is the Consumer Price Index or CPI. Let’s go…

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an important economic indicator that measures the changes in the prices of a basket of goods and services over time. It is used to calculate the inflation rate and is closely watched by policymakers, businesses, and investors. But how does the CPI work, and what factors affect it? Let’s find out!

The CPI is calculated by measuring the price changes of a basket of goods and services that the average household buys. The basket includes items such as food, housing, clothing, transportation, healthcare, and recreation. The prices of these items are collected from thousands of retail stores and service providers across the country. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) then uses this data to calculate the CPI.

The CPI is calculated by comparing the cost of the basket of goods and services in a given period to the cost of the same basket in a base period. The base period is typically set to 1982-1984, with a value of 100. If the CPI in a given period is higher than 100, it means that prices have increased compared to the base period. If the CPI is lower than 100, it means that prices have decreased.

The CPI is calculated using a weighted average. This means that some items in the basket have a greater influence on the overall CPI than others. For example, housing and transportation costs are given more weight than recreation and education costs because they make up a larger portion of the average household’s budget.

The CPI is used to calculate the inflation rate, which is the rate at which prices are increasing over time. The inflation rate is calculated by comparing the CPI in the current period to the CPI in the previous period. If the CPI has increased, the inflation rate is positive, indicating that prices are rising. If the CPI has decreased, the inflation rate is negative, indicating that prices are falling.

There are many factors that can affect the CPI. One of the most significant factors is changes in the cost of production. If it becomes more expensive to produce goods and services, the prices of those items will increase, and the CPI will go up. Another factor is changes in demand. If there is high demand for a particular item, its price will increase, and the CPI will go up.

In conclusion, the Consumer Price Index is a crucial tool for measuring inflation and understanding the overall health of the economy. By tracking changes in the prices of a basket of goods and services, the CPI can provide insights into the purchasing power of consumers and the cost of living. While many factors can influence the CPI, it remains an essential metric for policymakers, businesses, and investors alike.


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